NOTE! This site uses cookies and similar technologies.

If you not change browser settings, you agree to it. Learn more

I understand

Browsing the pages of the site some cookies cd Engineers may be installed on your browser. These are cookies that are used only to allow you a better browsing experience but that does not allow us to store your personal data be used for any other purposes.
In order to have statistical data on visits to the site, also, it could be installed on your browser a cookie that further, however, will not allow either the owner of the site, nor any third party to go back to your identity and will be used exclusively to to register, in aggregate form, the data relating to access in most of these pages.
To know more about what cookies are, read here

A-László Barabási

Science of Success: Quantifying Performance and its Reception in Science



Tuesday 23rd of September



Our current approach to success is driven by the belief that predicting exceptional impact requires us to detect extraordinary ability. Despite the long-standing interest in the problem, even experts remain notoriously bad at predicting long-term impact. Success becomes suddenly predictable, however, if we see it not as an individual but a collective phenomenon: for something to be successful, it is not enough to be novel or appealing, but we all must agree that it is worthy of praise.  If we accept the collective nature of success, its signatures can be uncovered from the many pieces of data around us using the tools of network and data sciences. In this talk I will focus on success in science as a way to testing our ability to measure and predict success.  I will show that the future impact of research papers can be predicted by decoding the community’s early reaction to it. Moving to scientific careers, I ask if we can predict when will a scientists make her highest impact discovery and how to assign credit to collaborative work. The uncovered patterns point towards a general, quantitative theory of success and signal the emergence of a new research field, The Science of Success.







Photo Gallery